Your Backtest Is Lying to You

If your backtest looks perfect, you’re probably doing it wrong...

*together with WealthMintr

Good evening! Jason Ulrich, founder of WealthMintr, here with you.

Christian showed me something last week that honestly blew my mind.

He pulled up a backtest.

Perfect equity curve going straight up and to the right.

90% win rate.

Sharpe ratio that would make a hedge fund manager jealous.

And then he said:

“This strategy would blow up your account in 3 months.”

Wait, what?

Let me explain.

Because here’s the thing most traders don’t understand:

If you’re just running backtests in your trading software… It’s worthless.

Completely worthless.

Christian doesn’t build strategies by curve-fitting to historical data.

Instead of chasing price…

He’s predicting potential profits.

And that’s one of the CORE principles you’ll learn in this workshop.

Because most traders do this:

They build a strategy. They run a backtest. It looks good. So they go live. Then reality hits…


The strategy that “worked” in backtesting… falls apart in live markets.

Why?

Because most backtests are lying to you.

Not intentionally… but because they’re not accounting for what ACTUALLY matters in live trading, like:

→ Slippage

→ Commissions 

→ bid/ask spreads

→ Market impact

→ Execution delays

Most backtests assume PERFECT fills at PERFECT prices.

But that’s not how real markets work.

Christian calls these “fantasy backtests.”

They look amazing on paper.

But they crumble the second you go live.

So what’s the solution?

It stress-tests across:

→ Different market regimes (bull, bear, sideways)

→ Different volatility environments

→ Realistic transaction costs

→ Walk-forward analysis (not just curve-fitting to past data)

And if the strategy STILL performs well after all that…

THEN it’s worth automating.

But it doesn’t stop there.

Because his TWO-LAYER SYSTEM is built on predicting potential profits… not chasing price.

That’s what makes his strategies ROBUST.

That’s what allows them to survive real market conditions.

This is the king of things Christian’s going to walk you through July 13-15.

Not just how to BUILD automated systems… but how to make sure they’re built on a solid foundation.

So they don’t just work in backtests… they work in REAL markets… with REAL money.

Because over the last 12 months… Christian’s systems have generated over $2M in his personal accounts.

And it’s not because he found some “holy grail” strategy.

It’s because he STRESS-TESTS everything.

*note: trading is hard, results not guaranteed and should not be expected to be replicated typically.

See you there.

— Jason Ulrich

Questions or concerns about our products? Email [email protected] 

© Copyright 2025, Jason Bond LLC

*DISCLAIMER: This entity is owned by Jason Bond LLC (JB). Please review our full disclaimer located at https://www.jasonbondpicks.com/disclaimer. We are distributing this communication on behalf of our sister company, RagingBull.com (RB), whose full disclaimer is found here: https://ragingbull.com/disclaimer.

*PAID PROMOTION: The content above is a paid promotion. RB receives compensation from the company or affiliate partners featured in this email. RB is paid to distribute this content and have a financial interest in promoting these products or services. Neither RagingBull or JasonBond LLC is responsible for any content hosted on third-party sites or your experience with third-party advertisers. It is the third party's responsibility to ensure compliance with applicable laws. We may hold positions in securities we discuss and may trade without notice. We make no guarantees or warranties about what is advertised and have no fiduciary duty to subscribers. Always consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.