Statistics to improve my trading

Data from my current $2K challenge

Good evening, Jay here.

Reminder: we’re sunsetting this bundle for all time. All buyers will be grandfathered. Only 94 seats remain.

As you know I’m doing a real-world case study on how to grow a $2,000 balance.

I analyzed my trades today so I can lean into what’s working and fix what’s broken.

Let’s have a look.

My current $2k challenge is at $18,488.

Trades: 74

Wins: 64

Losses: 10

That’s an 87% win rate

That is across just over 3-months from November 13, 2023 through the present. 

Don't you think this would be a great thing to learn how to do in 2024?

I’m on a mission to design the best strategy possible and teach it to others.

It’s going very well.

Members enjoy the $2,000 Small Account Journey.

When learning to trade a new strategy, transparency, and explicit details are extremely important. 

That's why all trades are alerted to subscribers’ smartphones moments before my entry and exit.

Strengths and weaknesses.

4 of my 10 losses are on bear calls betting against strong stocks like NVDA and SMCI.

These aren’t my typical 10-day EMA trades.

3 of my 10 losses are on TSLA bull puts during the downtrend looking for an oversold bounce.

These aren’t my typical 10-day EMA trades.

So of my 10 losses, 7 were when I didn’t follow the simple 10-day EMA strategy.

I think that data is very useful for you to understand.

My stop loss strategy has improved significantly since I started using double my entry as the barometer. 

I’ve debated starting new $2,000 balances but what members tell me is that since all the trades are the same, it doesn’t make a difference to them.

So I continue to try and grow my current balance, up 824% to $18,488 as high as I can. 

I guess my goal is $100,000 but there’s no guarantee I’ll get there.  

I’m averaging 5.3 trade alerts each week right now and 76% of them are swing trades meaning they were held overnight.

So 18 day trades out of the 74 alerts.

A balance under $25,000 would be allowed 42 day trades in that time frame. This means the $2k challenge could do more day trades if I thought it useful. 

But I don’t because I want to be in swing trades since the idea is to collect time decay from option buyers.

My goal is to keep my win rate high while managing my losses when they do come.

All things being equal, as the balance gets bigger the account growth tends to be faster. 

President’s Day Sale

Or 

Eat…sleep » trade!

Jay

P.S. I want to point out that I cannot speak for my members’ performance, as results may not be typical and trading is HARD. And I cannot guarantee you will make money, but what I can guarantee is that I will work my BUTT OFF to teach you WHY I trade WHAT I trade.

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