- Jason Bond Picks
- Posts
- Julia's notes
Julia's notes
And how I use them in my trading
Good morning,
Below is the main reason I’ve been able to win 45 trades in a row since September 5.
That’s 52 days without a loss — see all of those trades here.
The Unlucky Investor’s Guide To Options Trading by Julia Spina
I recommend reading the:
Introduction starting on page 1
And chapter 3 trading short premium, pages 57-83
Key takeaway:
In the small world of successful traders, the common denominator is math.
Buying options for profit is like playing slots.
Gamblers who play enough may hit a jackpot.
Despite potential for huge payouts, most players average a loss in the long run.
This is due to small losses the majority of the time.
Traders who buy options are betting on large, directional moves.
Those assumptions may be correct and yield significant profits once and a while.
But underlying prices stay within their expected ranges most of the time.
This results in small, frequent losses and an average loss over time.
Selling options for profit is like owning the slot machines.
Casino owners have a long-run statistical advantage for every game.
Owners may pay out large jackpots.
But as long as players stay long enough, owners are compensated for taking on this risk, with nearly guaranteed profit in the long term.
Similarly, because short options carry tail risk but provide small, consistent profits from implied volatility (IV) overstatement, then they should average a profit in the long run if risk is managed.
Long premium strategies have a high profit potential but cannot be consistently timed to ensure profit in the long term.
Similar to the slot machine owner, a short premium trader must reduce the impact of outlier losses to reach a large number of occurrences (trades) and realize the positive longer-term averages.
Apply coupon code: SAVE50
Receive the welcome email with my blueprint and video lessons
Attend live or watch the replay, over coffee, of the 10-minute morning call Monday at 6:30 am ET
Receive my written newsletter by email Monday at 8:45 am ET
Receive my trade alerts to your phone during market hours
I want to point out that I cannot speak for my members’ performance, as results may not be typical and trading is HARD. And I cannot guarantee you will make money. But what I can guarantee is that I will work my BUTT OFF to teach you WHY I trade WHAT I trade.
Call Davis 800-585-4488 if you’d rather subscribe to Journey through our RagingBull All Access plan which includes our top services.
*sponsored by
Whiskey: A Hedge Against Market Volatility
Looking to protect your portfolio from the next recession?
Consider investing in rare spirits like whiskey.
Whiskey investing provides a proven hedge against stock market dips driven by inflation and other factors.
With Vinovest, you can invest in high-growth segments such as American Single Malt, emerging Scotch, Bourbon, and Irish whiskey. Thanks to established industry relationships, Vinovest overcomes industry barriers that have made historically whiskey investing expensive and opaque. As a result, you can enjoy high-quality inventory that boosts your portfolio value and enhances liquidity.
DISCLAIMER: To more fully understand any Ragingbull.com, LLC ("RagingBull") subscription, website, application or other service ("Services"), please review our full disclaimer located at https://ragingbull.com/disclaimer.
FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY; NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. Any RagingBull Service offered is for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be construed as a securities-related offer or solicitation, or be relied upon as personalized investment advice. RagingBull strongly recommends you consult a licensed or registered professional before making any investment decision.
RESULTS PRESENTED NOT TYPICAL OR VERIFIED. RagingBull Services may contain information regarding the historical trading performance of RagingBull owners or employees, and/or testimonials of non-employees depicting profitability that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons voluntarily providing the testimonial. However, subscribers' trading results have NOT been tracked or verified and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and the results presented in this communication are NOT TYPICAL. Actual results will vary widely given a variety of factors such as experience, skill, risk mitigation practices, market dynamics and the amount of capital deployed. Investing in securities is speculative and carries a high degree of risk; you may lose some, all, or possibly more than your original investment.
RAGINGBULL IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER. Neither RagingBull nor any of its owners or employees is registered as a securities broker-dealer, broker, investment advisor(IA), or IA representative with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authority, or any self-regulatory organization.
WE MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED. RagingBull has not been paid directly or indirectly by the issuer of any security mentioned in the Services. However, Ragingbull.com, LLC, its owners, and its employees may purchase, sell, or hold long or short positions in securities of the companies mentioned in this communication.
*Sponsored Content: If you purchase anything through a link in this email other than RagingBull services, you should assume that we have an affiliate relationship with the company providing the product or service that you purchase, and that we will be paid in some way. We recommend that you do your own independent research before purchasing anything. We believe in the companies we form affiliate relationships with, but please don’t spend any money on these products or services unless you believe they will help you achieve your goals.
RagingBull.com, LLC shall be entitled to recover attorneys’ fees, costs and disbursements. In the event that any suit or action is instituted as a result of doing business with RagingBull.com, LLC and/or its affiliates or if any suit or action is necessary to enforce or interpret these Terms of Service, RagingBull.com, LLC shall be entitled to recover attorneys’ fees, costs and disbursements in addition to any other relief to which it may be entitled.