How I'm trading Israel-Iran escalation

My favorite setup

April 13, 2024

Good afternoon,

The fear trade is one of my favorites.

VIX is how we measure the level of fear in the market.

Fear is a basic human emotion.

And like clouds, it tends to pass quickly.

Iran threatening Israel caused fear to spike Friday.

So when fear spikes, I bet against it.

Traders flock to UVXY, a leveraged ETF 1.5x VIX.

And they buy the ETF or its calls, to go long fear.

I always buy the UVXY puts.

This is because UVXY is designed to go to $0.

The prospectus says it’s only intended to be held long for short periods of time.

This is because fear is an emotion that passes quickly.

The UVXY contango is why it decays so quickly, but that’s a complicated topic.

All we need to know as traders is UVXY will spike when fear is high.

As fear passes, UVXY heads to $0.

Want proof? Here’s the 3-year monthly chart. The green line, that’s the 10-day EMA.

Now compared that to NVDA 3-year monthly chart.

See why I always buy UVXY puts into spikes?

As a member of Jason Bond Picks, you’ll get the trade alerts to your phone as I make them.

Results not typical. Trading is hard. Nothing is guaranteed.

I took profit on those UVXY trades and entered a new trade into the weekend.

I’m nearly certain I’m going to do A LOT of UVXY trades this week.

I mean a lot!

And for ONLY $149 yearly I’ll alert your phone when I do.

But hurry, because I won’t be giving Jason Bond Picks away for $.41 cents a day much longer.

Eat, sleep & trade.

Jason Bond

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